Second Great Zimbabwe Economic Journal TeteGetty.com
Entry 67 · Regional Integration

Harare Takes the Chair: Zimbabwe Hosts COMESA — a US$1 Trillion Bloc That Trades Only US$14 Billion With Itself

On 22 October, Zimbabwe hosts the 25th COMESA Summit and President Mnangagwa takes the chairmanship of a 21-nation, 640-million-person market. A value-sovereignty reading of “One Market, One Future”: the intra-trade gap, Zimbabwe’s rising value-added exports, and what a year in the chair could actually win.

On 22 October 2026, the heads of state of Eastern and Southern Africa will gather in Harare for the 25th Summit of the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa, and when the gavel changes hands, it will pass to President Emmerson Mnangagwa. Zimbabwe — for a year — will chair a bloc of twenty-one nations, more than 640 million people, and over a trillion US dollars of combined output. The government calls it a diplomatic and economic milestone and says, simply, “we’re ready to lead.”

It is a genuine moment, and this Journal will mark it as one. A country that spent two decades being lectured about its place now sets the agenda for a continental bloc and invites its presidents to its capital. But a chair is a responsibility before it is an honour, and the honest question — the one worthy of our readers — is this: what is the chair of COMESA actually for, and what could Zimbabwe win with it?

21
COMESA member states
640m+
People in the market
US$1tn+
Combined GDP
1yr
Zimbabwe in the chair

1 What it means to hold the chair

A founding member moves from the floor to the head of the table.

COMESA is not new to Zimbabwe, and Zimbabwe is not new to COMESA. We are a founding member of a bloc that stretches from Egypt and Libya in the north, through the Horn and the Great Lakes, down to Zimbabwe and Eswatini in the south — the largest regional economic community on the continent by membership. Its Free Trade Area already offers duty-free access for goods that meet its rules of origin, and its Simplified Trade Regime lets the small cross-border trader — disproportionately women and the young — clear modest consignments on simplified papers.

To chair it is to set the tempo for a year: to steer the agenda of summits and ministerial councils, to host the business forum where the deals are seeded, and to carry the bloc’s voice into the wider councils of the African Union and the world. For a nation deep into a re-engagement drive, the optics alone are considerable — presidents and investors arriving in Harare, not advisories warning them away. But optics are the cheapest part. The real prize is whether Zimbabwe uses the year to attack the one number that shames every African bloc.

2 The US$14 billion problem

A trillion-dollar market that still sells to everyone except itself.

Here is the number the summit exists to change. COMESA imports about US$277 billion of goods from the world each year and exports some US$202 billion to it. And trade between its own members? Roughly US$14 billion — about 7% of the bloc’s goods exports. Readers of our recent African Journal piece will feel the echo: Africa trades just 16% with itself; inside COMESA the figure is less than half of that again.

COMESA’s trade, and the gap at the centre of it (US$ billion/year)
The bloc trades hundreds of billions with the world — and a sliver with itself.
$277bn
Imports
from world
$202bn
Exports
to world
$14bn
Trade within
COMESA
~7% INTRA-TRADE
Just 7% of COMESA’s goods exports stay inside the bloc. The other 93% sails for Europe, China, the Gulf — raw or barely processed, to be finished elsewhere and, often, sold back. A market of 640 million that buys US$277bn from the world is a market that could be buying far more of that from its own factories. That is the gap a chair can choose to make its mission.
Source: COMESA published trade data (2024), via ZimTrade. Intra-COMESA exports ≈ US$14bn, ≈7% of goods exports; imports from the world ≈ US$277bn; exports to the world ≈ US$202bn.

A market of 640 million that buys US$277 billion from the world is a market that could be buying far more of it from its own factories.

3 Where Zimbabwe already wins

Into the region, Zimbabwe sells made things — not just dug things.

Now the encouraging part, and the one that proves the thesis of this entire Journal. Look at what Zimbabwe actually sells into the regional market, and the profile is strikingly different from what it ships overseas. To the wider world and to SADC, Zimbabwe’s exports are still dominated by raw and semi-raw commodities — nickel matte, chrome, unprocessed minerals. But into COMESA, its leading exports are iron and steel products (about 18.6%) and manufactured tobacco — cigarettes (about 18.3%): finished and semi-finished goods, not ore.

And the trend is moving the right way. Zimbabwe’s value-added exports rose from US$437 million in 2024 to US$571 million in 2025 — a 30% jump in a single year.

Zimbabwe’s value-added exports (US$ million)
The regional market rewards processed goods — and Zimbabwe is selling more of them.
US$437m
2024
US$571m
2025
Source: ZimTrade (value-added exports, 2024–2025). Zimbabwe’s COMESA export mix (iron/steel ~18.6%; manufactured tobacco ~18.3%) via trade-bloc data, 2024.

This is value sovereignty in miniature, and it carries a lesson for the whole chairmanship. The continental market is the one place on earth that already pays Zimbabwe more for a finished good than a raw one — because our neighbours, unlike distant buyers, want the steel beam and the packaged food, not just the ore and the leaf. Deepen intra-COMESA trade and you are not merely trading more; you are trading up the value ladder. The 7% problem and the value-addition prize are the same problem, seen from two ends.

4 “One Market, One Future” — and the threads that meet in Harare

The summit’s theme is this Journal’s argument, written on a continental banner.

The 25th Summit runs under the theme “One Market, One Future: Advancing Inclusive Industrialisation, Investment and Regional Integration.” Strip away the conference language and it is the case this platform has made all month. Zimbabwe’s own stated agenda for its year, set out by ZimTrade, is pure value-chain thinking: processed foods, fruit concentrates and oils; cotton turned into textiles; livestock into leather; iron and steel for the region’s construction; engineering and IT services — and inclusive export clusters built in Manicaland, Masvingo and Matabeleland, with the small enterprise, not just the conglomerate, invited in.

And notice how the threads of recent weeks converge on this one event:

Everything we have reported this month meets at the summit
COMESA is where the policy, the backbone and the capital are meant to come together.
AfCFTA
The single market needs the behind-the-border work done
The AfCFTA piece showed ~60% of trade cost sits behind the border. COMESA’s Simplified Trade Regime, e-documentation and customs coordination are exactly that work, at regional scale.
Rail
The backbone carries the goods
Entry 65’s steel railway and Beira-Corridor dry port are the physical arteries that make US$14bn of intra-trade grow — a market only trades as much as its logistics allow.
USA
Re-engagement brings the capital
Entry 64’s reset with Washington, and the investment drive behind it, give the industrialisation agenda the financing it needs — from more than one direction.
STR
And it can include the smallest trader
The Simplified Trade Regime is written for women and young cross-border traders — proof that integration need not be only a game for the large.
TGRI synthesis of the month’s entries. The chairmanship is the moment these separate threads are meant to be pulled into one rope.

5 The honest ledger — a chair is a year, not a transformation

We celebrate the milestone. We also count the obstacles honestly.

This Journal does not mistake a summit for a solved problem, and nor should Harare. The record of African integration is littered with fine declarations that outran their delivery. Set the promise against the friction:

What the chairmanship can winWhat stands in the way
Agenda-setting for a year. Zimbabwe can push industrialisation, value chains and the Simplified Trade Regime to the top of the bloc’s priorities. Overlapping memberships. COMESA, SADC, the EAC and AfCFTA overlap confusingly — the “spaghetti bowl” of rules of origin that slows real trade.
Investment & visibility. The Business Forum and exhibition (19–21 Oct) put Zimbabwean firms in front of regional buyers and capital. Non-tariff barriers & logistics. Border delays, standards, trade finance and transport gaps keep intra-trade stuck near 7% regardless of good intentions.
A diplomatic platform. Chairing a continental bloc amplifies Zimbabwe’s voice on trade, infrastructure and finance across Africa and beyond. Declaration vs delivery. A one-year chair rotates on. Momentum built must survive the handover, or it joins the archive of communiqués.
The measure of a good chairmanship

By October 2027, when Zimbabwe passes the gavel on, the question will not be how many presidents came to Harare. It will be whether the intra-COMESA number moved — whether a few more of the region’s factories are Zimbabwean, a few more borders faster, a few more small traders trading. A chair is judged by what it leaves behind, not by the photographs taken at its start.

Tete’s Take

There is something fitting in Harare holding this gavel. The plateau that built Great Zimbabwe did so as a hub of trade — gold and ivory and cloth moving between the interior and the Indian Ocean, on terms the plateau itself helped set. To host Eastern and Southern Africa and chair its common market is not a favour granted to Zimbabwe by anyone. It is a return to an old role: the Zimbabwe Plateau as a convener of regional commerce, not a supplicant at its edge.

But let us hold our own feet to the fire, because that is what this Journal is for. The US$14 billion number is a disgrace shared by twenty-one governments, and a year in the chair is a short time to shift it. The honest hope is modest and real: that Zimbabwe uses its year not for ceremony but to make the unglamorous machinery work — the Simplified Trade Regime, the customs systems, the corridors, the standards — so that the region’s 640 million finally become each other’s customers, and our factories finally become the region’s suppliers.

“We’re ready to lead,” the government says. Good. Leadership on this continent is no longer measured by who can give the finest speech at the summit. It is measured by who can make the single market real for the trader at the border. Take the chair, Zimbabwe — and then do the quiet work that earns it.

— Tete Getty

Sources & notes
  1. “Seven leaders already confirmed for COMESA Summit” — The Herald / Zimpapers (interview with Foreign Affairs Minister Prof Amon Murwira), 11 October 2026: 25th COMESA Summit, Harare, 22 October 2026; Zimbabwe assumes the chairmanship; theme “One Market, One Future: Advancing Inclusive Industrialisation, Investment and Regional Integration.”
  2. Allan Majuru (CEO, ZimTrade), “COMESA will strengthen Zimbabwe’s role in the development of Africa” — The Herald, 11 October 2026: COMESA 21 states, 640m+ people, ~US$1tn GDP; imports from world US$277bn; exports to world US$202bn; intra-COMESA exports ≈US$14bn (≈7%); Zimbabwe value-added exports US$437m (2024) → US$571m (2025); Business Forum & exhibition 19–21 Oct; Simplified Trade Regime; export clusters (Manicaland, Masvingo, Matabeleland).
  3. Zimbabwe’s COMESA export mix (iron/steel ~18.6%; manufactured tobacco ~18.3%) — trade-bloc data, 2024, via EquityAxis.
  4. COMESA Secretariat — 25th Summit briefings; COMESA Free Trade Area and Simplified Trade Regime.
  5. Continuity: TGRI, “Africa Trades Just 16% With Itself” (The Africa Journal); “Rail, Steel, Ports — and the Money to Own the Backbone” (Entry 65); “Zimbabwe and the United States of America” (Entry 64). Framework: Musiiwa, G. (2026), “Value Sovereignty,” Zenodo DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21604818.
Figures are drawn from official COMESA and Zimbabwean trade sources and are accurate to the dates cited. Combined GDP is cited as “over US$1 trillion” (some official statements give up to US$1.2 trillion). This is analysis, not investment advice.
TeteGetty.com
Second Great Zimbabwe Economic Journal · Entry 67 · October 2026
Tete Getty Research Institute (TGRI)

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